2016 Primary Spotlight: Iowa
As we move through this primary season, the Voter Participation Center will profile unmarried women, their role in the electorate and economy in each of the contested states, starting with Iowa.
On February 1, the Iowa caucuses will provide a unique forum for civic engagement. The first official contest in the nominating process for President of the United States is an old-fashioned exercise in participatory democracy. On election night, voters go to designated precent locations to show their support for their candidates, listen to appeals for support from each campaign, and then vote. The caucuses first-in-the-nation position on the calendar gives the state enormous influence on the nation’s politics every four years.
So who shows up in the dead of the midwestern winter to shape America’s future?
Historically, according to an analysis from Drake University in Iowa, Republican caucus goers tend to skew heavily male; Democratic caucus goers tend to skew heavily female.
According to the most recent census data:
- Women make up slightly more than half of the Iowa population (50.8%)
- 45.4% of women in Iowa are unmarried
- Unmarried women make up 23 percent of the eligible voters in Iowa
- 62 percent of them are registered to vote
A detailed demographic analysis done for the Voter Participation Center shows that unmarried women have a large and vital economic stake in the outcome of the presidential election:
- Unmarried women are more likely than married women in Iowa to be unemployed
- Unmarried women are four times as likely to be living in poverty than married women
- Six in ten workers in Iowa who make minimum wage or less are women.
- Unmarried women earn less than other Iowans. They make 70.8 percent of what men earn; married women in Iowa make 80.8 percent of men’s earnings.
Next up: New Hampshire
New Data for the New Year
Here’s an updated look at the median earnings, health insurance coverage and poverty rates for unmarried women in 16 states. These profiles provide detailed demographic and economic portraits of the growing number of increasingly politically-powerful single women.
California Colorado Florida Illinois |
Iowa Kentucky Missouri Nevada |
New Hampshire New York North Carolina Ohio |
Pennsylvania Texas Virginia Wisconsin |
IWPR/AARP: The Gender/Race Gap in Student Loans
A new study from the Institute for Women’s Policy Research (IWPR) and the AARP reinforces other research findings that women bear the brunt of the student-loan burden, with women of all races holding student debts that totaled at least 80% of their income one year after graduation.
African-American women carry the greatest debt, with an average student debt load totaling 111% of their income—meaning that even if the average African-American woman was able to devote her entire income in the first year after college graduation to paying off her student loans, she still wouldn’t be out of debt.
For more information, check out MarketWatch’s article about the study.
WSJ: The Gender Pay Gap is Widening
“The narrowing of the pay gap may have at least temporarily stalled,” writes Eric Morath of the Wall Street Journal in his analysis of new Q3 2015 data from the Labor Department:
The latest data marks the third straight quarter that the increase in male earnings was at least double that of female workers. As a result, women who work full time earned 81.1 cents for every dollar a man earned from July through September. That’s down more than a penny from a year earlier.
Morath attributes the widening of the pay gap to pay raises for men in high-paying professional jobs.
The Hard Economic Fact for Unmarried Women: They Make Less
A look at median income by marital status reveals two facts to consider as the nation and states contemplate increasing the minimum wage, allowing workers to earn paid sick time, and enacting other policies and programs that would touch and improve the lives of most Americans:
Married men make close to 40 percent more ($22,319) than women who are divorced, separated, widowed or who never have been married.
How CA's Fair Pay Act Will Help Women
From Vauhini Vara at The New Yorker, here’s a look into the existing research on the pay gap between men and women, and what California’s Fair Pay Act—signed by governor Jerry Brown on October 6—will do to address that gap.
In California, the Fair Pay Act puts in place some provisions similar to [the proposed federal Paycheck Fairness Act]; it also bars employers from setting wages for any of its employees at rates lower than those paid to employees of the opposite sex for similar work—not only for equal work—and applies to people who work at different offices for the same employer.
Read the whole article here.
Unmarried Women and Poverty
Single women are having a harder time making ends meet than married women in America. Over the next several weeks, we’re going to document the different economic realities that define the lives and needs of the one out of every two U.S. women who are widowed, divorced, separated or have never been married. Our goal is to use data from the U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Labor, and other sources to make the case for a policy agenda that speaks to and improves the lives of half of all American women.
More than one in five unmarried women (22.7 percent) live in poverty. Single women are more than three times as likely than married women (6.3 percent) or married men (6.3 percent) to live in poverty.
2014 Population and Poverty Rates for U.S. Women, by Marital Status
Voter Registration by Snail Mail?! Yes, Snail Mail!
We have to admit it: In an age of Facebook, online forms, and email, “snail mail” is a little old-school.
But when you’re talking about voter registration, mail is what works with the Rising American Electorate (unmarried women, people of color, and millennials). Mail was the second most popular means for the RAE to register to vote in 2014, second only to the DMV (thanks, Motor Voter!).
That’s why we put such a heavy emphasis on mail outreach in our voter registration programs, even while we also work to help people register to vote online.
Registering the Rising American Electorate: Now is the Time
As part of our year-round voter registration program, the Voter Participation Center is helping to register unmarried women, people of color, and young voters—the groups that make up the Rising American Electorate (RAE)—for the 2016 election. VPC is mailing voter registration forms to 1.4 million RAE members in 8 states. (You can read more about our mail program here.)
The chart below shows the huge number of unregistered members of the RAE—particularly unmarried women—and the opportunity to reshape the electorate in these eight states.
Rising American Electorate | Unmarried Women | |||||||||
State
|
% of VEP
|
Registered
|
%
|
Unreg.
|
%
|
% of VEP
|
Registered
|
%
|
Unreg.
|
%
|
Colorado | 49% | 1,149,895 | 62% | 695,784 | 38% | 22% | 546,725 | 66% | 283,499 | 34% |
Florida | 58% | 4,818,782 | 60% | 3,269,845 | 40% | 26% | 2,184,986 | 60% | 1,452,963 | 40% |
Iowa | 45% | 601,659 | 59% | 413,038 | 41% | 23% | 325,929 | 62% | 198,167 | 38% |
North Carolina | 56% | 2,439,168 | 63% | 1,406,290 | 37% | 26% | 1,147,794 | 64% | 656,032 | 36% |
Nevada | 62% | 616,901 | 53% | 543,057 | 47% | 26% | 266,875 | 55% | 215,404 | 45% |
Pennsylvania | 47% | 2,531,540 | 57% | 1,947,017 | 43% | 24% | 1,404,064 | 61% | 892,563 | 39% |
Virginia | 56% | 1,941,775 | 59% | 1,328,439 | 41% | 24% | 831,891 | 59% | 568,104 | 41% |
Wisconsin | 45% | 1,137,583 | 60% | 759,954 | 40% | 24% | 637,094 | 63% | 370,210 | 37% |
(VEP: Vote-Eligible Population)
Data Source: Current Population Survey: Voting and Registration Supplement, 2014. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.
Unmarried and Single Americans By the Numbers: A Potential Electoral Powerhouse
This is National Unmarried and Single Americans Week and all this week we have been highlighting new U.S. Census Bureau data documenting the size and power of this fast-growing demographic group —focused particularly on unmarried women. We want to end this week with data derived from Census figures about unmarried women, their potential to make up a quarter of the national 2016 electorate and their power to decide next year’s elections.
Percentage of U.S. women eligible to vote in 2016 who will be unmarried, according to projections—the first time in U.S. history when the majority of vote-eligible U.S. women have been unmarried.
Data Sources:
1. Lake Research Partners/The Voter Participation Center: “Gearing Up for 2016: How Population and Electoral Trends among the RAE Inform the 2016 Cycle,” Slide 7
See our previous Unmarried and Single Americans Week posts:
Monday: Some Stunning Stats
Wednesday: Singlehood is Becoming the New Norm for American Households
Thursday: The Changing American Family