Statistical Profile of Unmarried Women: New Mexico
Our research team has compiled available data from the US Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and other sources to put together this statistical profile of the demographic and economic circumstances facing unmarried women in the state of New Mexico.
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Statistical Profile of Unmarried Women: Montana
Our research team has compiled available data from the US Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and other sources to put together this statistical profile of the demographic and economic circumstances facing unmarried women in the state of Montana.
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2016 Primary Spotlight: March 15
The 2016 presidential nominating contests could all come down to this Tuesday, March 15. Primary elections in five states could significantly winnow the race and give clearer shape to the general election.
The five states voting on March 15 will be:
For the GOP, the March 15 primaries include some winner-take-all states: Florida, Ohio, and possibly Missouri.* In most of the primaries this spring, delegates have been awarded proportionally, allowing several candidates to win delegates in a race.
So what does the Rising American Electorate—unmarried women, people of color, and millennials—look like in these make-or-break states? Remember that nationally, the RAE is the majority of eligible voters—almost 57%. And in 2016, for the first time in U.S. history, they’re poised to cast the majority of votes in an election.
Take a look at our breakdown of the RAE nationally and in each of the five March 15 states. As a reminder, a person can belong to more than one subgroup in the RAE—so an unmarried Latina millennial would show up as part of all three cohorts that make up the RAE.
| Rising American Electorate | Unmarried Women | People of Color | Millennials | |
| U.S. Vote-Eligible Population | 57% | 26% | 30% | 26% |
| Florida | 58% | 26% | 36% | 21% |
| Illinois | 58% | 28% | 30% | 27% |
| Missouri | 46% | 23% | 15% | 26% |
| North Carolina | 56% | 26% | 29% | 26% |
| Ohio | 48% | 26% | 16% | 21% |
* In the Missouri GOP primary, if one candidate gets over 50% of the vote, they will receive all of Missouri’s GOP delegates; if no candidate gets 50%, then the delegates will be allocated proportionally.
Kelly Ditmar: Black Women Voters By the Numbers
Kelly Ditmar of the Center for American Women and Politics has a new post on HuffPost Politics analyzing the role of African-American women in the Democratic primary thus far:
Black voters voted overwhelmingly for Clinton in Democratic primaries across the nine states where race data is available, and the proportion of black women casting ballots for Clinton was even greater than the proportion of black men, based on exit polls reporting race by gender data. […] Most significantly, Clinton has won more than 85 percent of black women’s votes in each of these states. […] Clinton’s support among black women voters is even more significant since they have turned out at the highest rates of any race/gender subgroup in the past two presidential elections.
Read the whole post here.
2016 Primary Spotlight: Michigan, the Rising American Electorate, and Unmarried Millennial Women
On March 8, Democrats and Republicans will vote in Michigan and Mississippi; additionally, Republicans will vote in Idaho and caucus in Hawaii. (Democrats in Idaho and Hawaii will caucus on March 22 and March 26, respectively.)
Michigan is the big prize in terms of delegates: Michigan Democrats will send 147 delegates to Philadelphia and the GOP will send 59 to Cleveland. Mississippi has 41 Democratic and 40 Republican delegates, Idaho Republicans have 32 delegates, and Hawaii Republicans have 19 delegates.
In Michigan, the Rising American Electorate—unmarried women, people of color, and millennials—make up half of all the eligible voters in the state. Unmarried women are 26% of Michigan’s vote-eligible population, millennials are 24%, and people of color are 21%.
So we thought it would be interesting to look more closely at where millennials overlap with unmarried women and people of color—since millennials are one of the most highly-contested demographic groups on the Democratic side.
Almost four in ten millennials in Michigan (38.1%) are unmarried women. 15.8% of unmarried millennial women in Michigan are African-American, and 6.7% of unmarried millennial women in Michigan are Latino.
Learn more about unmarried women in the March 8 primary states:
Michigan
Mississippi
Idaho
Hawaii
2016 Primary Spotlight: March 5-6
This weekend, five states are holding presidential primaries or caucuses:
Louisiana: Democratic and Republican primary elections (Saturday)
Kansas: Democratic and Republican caucuses (Saturday)
Kentucky: Republican caucuses (Saturday)
Maine: Republican caucuses (Saturday), Democratic caucuses (Sunday)
Nebraska: Democratic caucuses (Saturday)
(Puerto Rico will also have its Republican primary election on Sunday.)
For both parties, all of their state primaries and caucuses this weekend are “closed”—meaning that only registered Republicans can vote in the Republican primary or caucus, and only registered Democrats can vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. (Unaffiliated voters can’t vote in either party’s presidential primary or caucus this weekend.)
But in today’s post, we’d like to focus on Saturday’s Republican primaries and caucuses—because these four contests, with 234 delegates at stake, could have major implications for understanding which candidate registered Republican voters prefer.
While the Rising American Electorate (RAE)—unmarried women, people of color, and millennials—make up well over the majority (56.7%) of eligible voters nationally, they make up less than half of the vote-eligible population in Kansas (49%), Kentucky (48%), and Maine (43%). The RAE makes up 63% of the eligible voters in Louisiana.
Louisiana is also the outlier among the four March 5 GOP primary states in terms of the racial composition of its electorate—people of color make up 38 percent of the Pelican State’s eligible voters, compared to 16% in Kansas and 12% in Kentucky. (There are too few people of color in Maine for our researchers to be able to get reliable statistics on them.)
Finally, Louisiana also leads the states voting on Saturday in terms of unmarried women as a proportion of the vote-eligible population: 29% of vote-eligible Louisiana residents are unmarried women, compared to 25% in Kansas and Kentucky and 26% in Maine.
Learn more about unmarried women in these states:
Louisiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Maine
Statistical Profile of Unmarried Women: Washington
Our research team has compiled available data from the US Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and other sources to put together this statistical profile of the demographic and economic circumstances facing unmarried women in the state of Washington.
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Statistical Profile of Unmarried Women: Utah
Our research team has compiled available data from the US Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and other sources to put together this statistical profile of the demographic and economic circumstances facing unmarried women in the state of Utah.
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Statistical Profile of Unmarried Women: District of Columbia
Our research team has compiled available data from the US Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and other sources to put together this statistical profile of the demographic and economic circumstances facing unmarried women in the District of Columbia.
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NPR: The 10 States Where Millennials Could Sway The Election
How much power do millennial voters have in 2016? More than ever before – and possibly more than they know.
“With an estimated population of 83.1 million, they now outnumber baby boomers. But, in the last election, they had the lowest voter turnout of any age group.”
The main conclusion?
“Young people, when they’re actually targeted, can help win elections — especially in these 10 states, ordered from least important to most important in terms of youth vote.”
