Anticipating 2014 Voter Drop-Off

October 30, 2013

This report, compiled by the Voter Participation Center and Lake Research Partners, highlights the potential drop-off in voter turnout looking ahead to the 2014 election, particularly that of the Rising American Electorate (unmarried women, people of color, and young people).

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Memo and Key Findings (RAE) (PDF)

Anticipating 2014 Voter Drop-Off: Memo and Key Findings (VPC/Lake Research Partners)

Charts and Full Results (RAE) (PDF)

Anticipating 2014 Voter Drop-Off: Charts and Full Results (VPC/Lake Research Partners)

Memo and Key Findings (Unmarried Women) (PDF)

Anticipating 2014 Voter Drop-Off Among Unmarried Women: Memo and Key Findings (VPC/Lake Research Partners)

Charts and Full Results (Unmarried Women) (PDF)

Anticipating 2014 Voter Drop-Off Among Unmarried Women: Charts and Full Results (VPC/Lake Research Partners)

Media Presentation (PDF)

Anticipating 2014 Voter Drop-Off: Media Presentation (VPC/Lake Research Partners)

What We're Reading

U.S. Census: Unmarried and Single Americans Week

To commemorate Unmarried and Single Americans Week (September 17-23), the U.S. Census has produced a “Facts for Features” profile (PDF) of 2016 census data about unmarried Americans. Here are some of the highlights:

There are 110.6 unmarried people 18 or older in America, making up 45.2% of the U.S. adult population.
35.4 million Americans lived alone in 2016, representing 28.1% of all US households — up from 17.1% in 1970.
Despite unmarried people being 45.2% of the U.S. adult population, only 39.6% of voters in the 2016 presidential election were unmarried.

Read the rest of the U.S. Census Bureau’s “Facts for Features” profile (PDF) on unmarried Americans.

Millennials to pass baby boomers as largest voter-eligible age group, and what it means

For the first time, millennials next year will pass baby boomers as the largest generation of Americans eligible to vote.

By Ronald Brownstein, CNN Senior Political Analyst

July 25, 2017

(CNN)In 2018, the American electorate will cross a historic threshold that could reshape the political balance of power-or leave Democrats fuming in frustration at continued Republican dominance of Washington.

For the first time, millennials next year will pass baby boomers as the largest generation of Americans eligible to vote, according to the well-respected demographic forecasts from the States of Change project at the Center for American Progress, a liberal advocacy group. That transition will end a remarkable four decades of dominance for the baby boomers, who have been the largest generation of eligible voters since 1978, when they surpassed what’s been popularly referred to as the Greatest Generation (or G.I. Generation) raised during the Depression. Read more here.

How Votes Have Shifted: Changes in Partisan Performance 2000-2016

Demographic change is slowly, but inevitably, moving Western states to the left.

By Reid Wilson

The 11th story in The Hill’s Changing America series, in which they investigate the demographic and economic trends shaping the nation’s politics. Nevada’s booming growth underscores the two trends working most in Democrats’ favor: the rising power of cities that are acting more reliably liberal, and the expanding influence of Hispanic-Americans who are becoming the nation’s largest minority community. Read more here.

Anticipating 2014 Voter Drop-Off

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